Thursday, August 23, 2007

China's One Child Policy Blunder

The huge population boom ever since the end of World War II has created a huge problem for the Chinese government, overpopulation & the lack of resources to provide for that population. Due to the "inward" looking nature of the Chinese (in particular Han people), the Chinese government chose a method by which the citizens of their country will be "restricted" to a One Child Policy in 1979. Though the decision was done with the best of intentions, the lack of foresight and control over this policy has caused a lot of growing problems in China today.
  1. Due to the patriarchal nature of the Chinese people (in particular the Han people), their preference of having male heirs to carry on the family name conflicts with this policy. What would happen if a Han couple's child were a girl?
  2. The increased cases of abortions is the end result, as couple, seeking to get around the various fines (very expensive in Chinese standards => like more than several years' wages US$25,800 per additional child) imposed upon by the Chinese government.
  3. This causes a huge difference in the country's male to female ratio (at birth: 1.11 male(s)/female) vs (15-64 years: 1.057 male(s)/female and 65 years and over: 0.914 male(s)/female). Needless to say the problem of male to female differential has grown worse in the past 28 years. This problem further compounds when there are fewer females of eligible age for marriage => further decreases population and further increases the difference in male to female ratio.
  4. Filial Piety (*gets more difficult): As the population of the country gets older, who will be the ones to support all the elders? With only 1 child per couple, and each family with 4 grandparents, the issue of the 1:2:4 occurs, whereby the 1 child will have to take care of both his parents and his 4 grandparents when they retire. This will eventually lead to the collapse of the Chinese economy.
  5. The lack of workforce: As more and more "elders" move into retirement age, the amount of Chinese population to man those factories will decrease dramatically. So who will be left to fuel China's economy?
  6. The lack of tax dollars: As more and more individuals reach the retirement age, the number of tax paying citizens in China shrinks to a small fraction of what it was like 25-30 years ago. So who will pay for all the health care services and other necessities of the country's older population?
  7. Spoiled Brats: Since families can only have one child, that child will likely be the centre of attention by their parents and 4 grandparents, leading to a bunch of spoiled brats, and especially those from well off families (who basically become unproductive individuals).
  8. Divided between the rich and poor: Since China has been growing richer the past 25 years, a small population of "well off" families can actually pay the fines imposed upon by the Chinese government. This increases the socioeconomic tensions that are growing between the wealthy Chinese (who can afford to have several children) and those who are barely scraping by with only one child. This further increases the problem when that one child will have to support his/her parents and grandparents.
  9. Decrease of military effectiveness: As fewer eligible "males" reach the age to serve China's bloated (not as much as the states) military, the overall effectiveness of their military strength will go down as they will no longer have a large population to draw their recruits from.
Information about China's "One Child Policy":
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy

Information about the growing financial divide (people paying their way out of the One Child Policy):
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/IE11Ad01.html

Considering that the Chinese population is "still" increasing (although at a much decreased rate) of 0.606%/year (2007 est.). It is obvious that the problem of overpopulation will continue to mount in China for a while.

One possible solution to China's current situation is to promote "mass" migrations (on the scale of the Irish migration in the 1700s) to other countries: in particular Australia, Canada, Norway, Swedan, UK, and the United States, while abolishing the One Child Policy. This method would be able to help alleviate the current overpopulation problem, establish a strong stake hold of pro-Chinese sentiment in those countries (to prevent wars and gain pro-Chinese views in those countries) [much as what the Jews have done for Israel], broaden the spread of Chinese culture, and help introduce more democratic reforms to the current Socialist Capitalist nature of the Chinese government, so that they may continue their way towards a Democratic future.

Friday, August 17, 2007

SCO conducts final stage of joint anti-terror drill

As much as the new rival to the European Union and the United States, the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) keeps saying that their "organization" is purely on an economic level, the increase of military cooperation is undoubtedly an interesting development between its member countries. In particular the increased cooperation between Chinese and Russian military.

Source: (Xinhua English Website)
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-08/17/content_6553596.htm

Considering the sort of build up and cooperation between the SCO's members, this organization could very well create the next major economic and military power in the world; in addition the the EU and the United States.

Historically this organization was initially created to counteract the number of countries sympathetic to United States immediately after the 9/11 attack, and to stop the infiltration/encroachment of American army and air bases in the East Asian region. However it has since grown into a lot more than a mere bloc of like minded nations, it can now be viewed as the "Asian Union" as it is comprised of all the major players in the continent of Asia (other than Korea (which would be a likely candidate to join) and Japan (impossible to join due to bad blood between it and the current member nations)).

Due to the development of the SCO: China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan and observer nations India, Iran, Pakistan, and Mongolia have created unprecedented cooperation in an economic standpoint. However I have to point out that the two "primary" nations in this endeavor China and Russia are in many ways buying the support of our "allies"; China via the use of its vast foreign reserves, and Russia through its North Seas petroleum deposits and sales of its vast military arsenal. So the SCO can clearly be seen as a skewed partnership, much like how the EU is played with Britain, Germany, France, and Italy being the dominant players. Only that in this case the amount of power (both economic and military) controlled by China and Russia far exceeds that of the other member nations, hence they become virtual subjects to Russia and China.

In a way this can be seen as China and Russia's method of coercing and controlling the other regional powers into doing their bidding; much like United States when it flexes its military muscles to control Iraq and Afghanistan (and numerous Central American nations), only without all the unnecessary death and destruction. This method is so successful that even known opponents with differing religious background India (predominantly Hindu) and Pakistan (predominantly Muslim) are hoping to get on board. This shows that instead of exercising military might and denunciations, the use of financial gain and the use of soft diplomacy does a much better job of maintaining amicable relations.

From a political standpoint China and Russia's strategy in maintaining control and stability in the region and reducing the likely hood of Muslim terrorism is far more successful than that of the United States with its debacles on both Afghanistan and Iraq. The SCO's method of soft diplomacy rather than pure military might is winning over nations, regardless of religion, gaining support of even fundamentalist Islamic nation such as Pakistan and Iran. This is something that the United States and U should study and adopt, rather than continuing their current strategy of hunting down any potential "threats" to their dominant power.

Read up more on SCO: (Wikipedia)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Cooperation_Organization

Thursday, August 16, 2007

US and Israel in $30bn arms deal

After just denouncing the Iranians as "terrorists" yesterday, the American Idiot (Bush) steps up the ante by supplying the long time enemy of the Iranians, Israel with a fat check for $30 Billion over the next 10 years.

Source: (BBC Website)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6948981.stm

Bush is doing this in preparation of the repercussions that he has set in motion. With the world markets down, due in no short part to Bush's warmongering which resulted in the instabilities in the middle east, in addition to the sub-prime housing crisis, we could very well be seeing a small recession in the first time in 5-10 years. Not exactly the kind of legacy that a president, lame duck or otherwise would like to have.

By keeping the Israelis in command of the region, to fight a proxy war in Iran will very much keep the pressure off the already stretched American military. But in the end this will blow up on Bush and future American's faces as they have been duped by Israelis working in upper tiered positions of the American government. Ever since the creation of Israel, it has never played nicely with its neighbors, mostly due to the fact that it was forcibly created by the British right in the middle of the "holy land" which is important to the trio of Jewish, Christian, and Muslim faiths. Ever since then the Israelis have muscled their way in the middle east and have humiliated the Arab & Muslim powers time and again (the 6 day war in particular changed the way the world saw this tiny nation). However this was due to a large part to the continued efforts of pro-Israel "advisers" of the American government. These individuals are basically the dual citizenship traitors, who's true loyalties lie with the Israeli state. In a way you can say these high ranking individuals (you know who they are) are actually spies of Israel, implanted on the upper tiers of American social elite to deceive and indoctrinate the American people into believing that they must help Israel, regardless of the cost.

It is because of this that various Israeli leaders including Ariel Sharon knows actually under the thumb and command of Israel, not vice versa:

former President Ariel Sharon once boasted, regarding his influence over President Bush “We have the US under our control”.
Excerpt: The Power of Israel in the United States, James Petras, Clarity Press, 2006; pg 13

Now putting this into context, it would very much seem that the current events that are happening in the Middle East, i.e. the Americans egging the Iranians by calling their country's official military as terrorists, is very much fueled by Israel's own ambitions, to rid themselves of another potential threat, the growing power that Iran is extending to its Shiite friends in Iraq and the rise of Fundamentalist movement in Islam.

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Iran Guards 'join US terror list'

It never ceases to amaze me how the America's crazy little elf man, GW Bush, can instigate/cause more hatred towards the American people and first world countries in general.

Source: (BBC Website)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6947444.stm

"The US is preparing to designate Iran's Revolutionary Guards force as a foreign terrorist unit, officials say."

Is it just me or is the American government planning to do yet another "DUMBASS" thing? Not only have they yet to clean up their mess in Iraq, they are already planning their next phase to disposing all non-confirming countries, democratic or not. Lets put this into perspective, just what does this message bring to Muslims all around the world? Simple, you disagree with the Americans and Bush and his minions of evil will come to bomb your country and kill your civilians. The simple stating that a "regular" army constitutes as a terrorist unit/organization means that the their nation of Iran are terrorists. It is because Bush, Condi, and their seriously mentally lacking goons use such untactful language that causes unnecessary wars. My guess is because Iraq blew up on his face, Bush is seeking to extend his warmongering ways elsewhere in the middle east. Due to the impending "withdraw" from Iraq, Bush is already seeking to "reposition" his troops from Iraq to Iran in preparation for the next "War on Terrorism".

So what can we now expect from Ahmadinejad? Probably a denunciation of the United States and ask/demand the current crazed American government to "retract" their earlier statement. The serious lack of diplomacy by the Americans ever since 9/11 has already caused the catastrophe in Iraq, which has since become the new breeding ground for terrorism and now the warmonger "Commander in Chief" wants to create a new one in Iran, which in the end will only make things more difficult for moderate Muslims, resulting in more hardliners, further the instability in the region, and cause even "MORE" terrorism, which is the exact opposite of what the "War on Terrorism" was supposed to achieve.

Thursday, August 2, 2007

Starting Off Something Bland

After reading blogs of politically motivated sites both in Canada and internationally, I thought that I could give everyone a little insight as to how my devious little mind is processing all of this information.

First off a review of the state of the world:
  1. Middle East:
    USA is still trying to control the Middle East under its pretext of hunting down "terrorists" who had been responsible for 9/11. What originally started as a retaliatory strike against the Al Qaeda terrorist organization and their Taliban (Afghan) allies has turned into an all out land/oil grab.

    Using the pretext that Iraq under Saddam Hussein controlled "weapons of mass destruction", the US government under the command of its most coercive and inept administrations to date has now plunged the entire Middle East region into a state of chaos. Ever since the illegal (not approved by UN) US/UK coalition (axis) invasion of Iraq, which took place over skanty & falsified evidence created by the Bush administration. Things have not been getting better in Iraq, in fact things have gotten worse. The conflict (caused by the axis) has claimed as of June 2006: 654,965 (range of 392,979–942,636) total excess deaths! This number accounts 2.5% of Iraq's population; basically what is currently still undergoing in Iraq is a prolonged genocide of Arabs.

    So just what did the US/UK axis gain from this invasion? Body bags and billions in debt... to corporations like Haliburton and PMC (private military contractors). But not only this, the invasion (which ended with its ousting/murdering of Saddam Hussein) has created a sort of power vacuum in the Middle East, not only making Iraq into the "new" breeding ground of terrorists, but also pushing their closer relations to the "border-lining" fanatical Islamic state of Iran. Great Job Bush, you are one of the "main causes" of the America debt to the Chinese and Japanese... (hence my 2nd point)

    Middle East Assessment: Extremely Volatile, I wouldn't want to live here.

  2. Far East:
    The Far East has been an area with numerous problems since the end of the 19th (1800s) to 20th Centuries (Chinese Revolution, Japanese Imperialism). But one of the most important in setting the stage of that region of the world is World War II and its aftermath; the rise of Democracy and Communism. After the defeat of the Japanese at the end of WWII a huge vacuum was created in the countries that it "controlled" in the duration of the war. In particular China, Korea, and to a lesser extent Vietnam and other Southeast Asia countries. This power vacuum allowed the grass roots organizations of Communism to actually gain power (basically the creation of the Cold War), partially in Korea and completely in China and Vietnam (after Vietnam War).

    • The civil war in China which resulted in the Communists taking power and ousting the (Autocratic-Socialist) KMT (Kuomintang) to Taiwan has created the instance of cross strait instability with concern to Taiwan's independence.
    • The split between Communist and Autocratic-Democrats Koreas cumulated to the Korean War which basically ended with a draw and cease fire. It wasn't until the last 10-20 years that sentiments regarding reunification have increased
    • The Vietnam War ends with Communists ousting the Democractic but Corrupt Regime in the South (however it is noted that the South Vietnamese government stood like a puppet government to the United States)

    In addition to the rise of communism in the area, a strong Anti-Japanese sentiment (shared by all nations in the region) exists to this day. A reason why the growth of Japanese military (they call it self-defense force), which is currently the 4-5th most in the world a cause for concern. I wonder just how and where are they spending the 42-43+ billion USD a year, especially when they say they are a "pacifist" state. It is because of this, that their "arms race" with China is only going to further aggravate the tensions in the region.

    The recent cries for independence by President Chen Shui Bian of Taiwan and the increase of Anti-Sino sentiments in Taiwan can be associated to the roots by which Taiwan was created.

    The current "deactivation" of North Korea's reactors can be seen as a good sign, we will see just how long that lasts.

    Far East Assessment: Moderate, excellent chances of growth and this is "THE" place to earn fast money right now, that is until the nukes starts to fly.

  3. Europe:
    Europe for most of modern history has been a huge battle ground between the many races, religions, and ideologies. It has been the source of 2 World Wars in the past 100 years and dozens of smaller conflicts. However with the pacification of Nazism, decline of Communism in Russia, and the ,and the growth of cooperation between the member states of the European Union (E.U.), the region has become one of the world's strongest economic and military powers (offset by United States). However the overwhelming power of a handful of member states such as Britain, France, Germany, and Italy compared to its ex-Eastern Bloc counterparts makes the growing internal problems becoming full blown economic and military situations a possibility.

    Europe Assessment: Low, the existence of the majority of the World's First World countries in the region more than speaks to the power of the Europeans. That is assuming they can contain their second class members (citizens) and keep them in line.

  4. Southeast Asia & Indian Subcontinent:
    After the era of colonialism died at the end of WWII, the new Democracies have begun to flex their muscles regionally. The two primary players in this region are Pakistan and India. Both of these nations are moderately equipped and with access to nuclear arsenal. Considering their past rivalry, as well as their proximity to Afghanistan (the roots of the Taliban and Al Qaeda), it is definitely a flashpoint region.

    Also having some of the most populous Islamic countries, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Afghanistan; the growth of Fundamentalist Islam and terrorism in the area is a definite cause for concern. In particular the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan is a traditional stronghold/haven for terrorists as the region is not completely under control by their respective countries.

    Southeast Asia Assessment: Moderate High, unless control of the terrorists in the region is contained by Afghanistan and Pakistan, the region will continue to be a regional flashpoint. And considering how badly Pervez Musharraf gets pressured, we could well see the birth of yet another fundamentalist state in the region.

  5. North & South America:
    The new world countries have in general been more docile than the countries in Europe, Africa, and Asia. Being separated/isolated by ocean from all the "problems" plaguing the rest of world. With the world's premier military, economy, and democracies the United States in the Americas, one would have thought the region would be the most democratic and "stable" in the world. However this is definitely not the case. With resurgence of Socialism and Chinese like Dengism ("earn money at any cost") taking hold of South America and its inroads in Canada and the United States through left winged parties such NDP & Communist Party in Canada and the Socialist Party in United States comes to mind.

    Due to the relative success of Dengism in the (Socialist-Capitalist) state of China, the idea has spread like wild fire to the Americas, the prime examples of Democracies adopting this style of approach are Evo Morales's Bolivia and Hugo Chavez's Venezuela. Because of the growth of the far left and the growing anti-American sentiments, it wouldn't surprise me if the Americans do something foolish like stage a coup or assassination in those states, like they have tried unsuccessfully in Cuba, Fidel Castro and successfully in South Vietnam before the Vietnam War on Ngo Dinh Diem.

    With Fidel Castro incapacitated and his brother Raul running shop in Cuba, it is likely that the Americans will try to oust the Communists out of Cuba

    Americas Assessment: Moderate Low, the primary cause for concern in the Americas is the ongoing conflicts of ideologies, will the Americans coerce yet another win for Democracy or will the people win to fight another day?

  6. Australia & New Guinea:
    Nothing much ever happens in Australia and New Guinea. Both of these countries are extremely well off and have had relatively peaceful, other than to their aboriginals, who are put into reserves (much like in Canada and United States). So unless the "combined might of the Aussie Aboriginals decides to send their armies out to take back what's theres, I highly suspect that chances of instabilities in the region is extremely low.

    Australia & New Guinea Assessment: Extremely Low, as I have stated earlier, nothing happens in Aussieland and I highly doubt anything ever will.

  7. Africa:
    The rise of fundamentalist Islam in states such as Sudan and genocides (Sierra Leone, Uganda, and Rwanda) in the region is a definite cause for concern. However due to the lack of use to the First World countries, the area gets far fewer press coverage than Iraq and the Far East. It would seem that the only countries that have vested interest in the region is either France (with their colonial links) and China (which wants their resources and to sell them "stuff"). Other than that it seems, yet again, Africa gets the ass end of the deal in our world. Considering that Sudan is becoming yet another Islamic terrorist stronghold, it truly makes me wonder why the United States isn't doing more to prevent them in that region, maybe they are weighing the advantages (minor access to resources) and disadvantages (many conflicts due to religion and land ownership), and sees Africa as a lost cause.

    In addition to the constant warfare and conflict that occurs in Africa, the weak economies of a great deal of its nations makes it susceptible to fluctuations

    Africa Assessment: Volatile, but with a large chance of growing worse if more international attention (in particular from first world countries like United States) isn't setting the region into its agenda.