- Due to the patriarchal nature of the Chinese people (in particular the Han people), their preference of having male heirs to carry on the family name conflicts with this policy. What would happen if a Han couple's child were a girl?
- The increased cases of abortions is the end result, as couple, seeking to get around the various fines (very expensive in Chinese standards => like more than several years' wages US$25,800 per additional child) imposed upon by the Chinese government.
- This causes a huge difference in the country's male to female ratio (at birth: 1.11 male(s)/female) vs (15-64 years: 1.057 male(s)/female and 65 years and over: 0.914 male(s)/female). Needless to say the problem of male to female differential has grown worse in the past 28 years. This problem further compounds when there are fewer females of eligible age for marriage => further decreases population and further increases the difference in male to female ratio.
- Filial Piety (*gets more difficult): As the population of the country gets older, who will be the ones to support all the elders? With only 1 child per couple, and each family with 4 grandparents, the issue of the 1:2:4 occurs, whereby the 1 child will have to take care of both his parents and his 4 grandparents when they retire. This will eventually lead to the collapse of the Chinese economy.
- The lack of workforce: As more and more "elders" move into retirement age, the amount of Chinese population to man those factories will decrease dramatically. So who will be left to fuel China's economy?
- The lack of tax dollars: As more and more individuals reach the retirement age, the number of tax paying citizens in China shrinks to a small fraction of what it was like 25-30 years ago. So who will pay for all the health care services and other necessities of the country's older population?
- Spoiled Brats: Since families can only have one child, that child will likely be the centre of attention by their parents and 4 grandparents, leading to a bunch of spoiled brats, and especially those from well off families (who basically become unproductive individuals).
- Divided between the rich and poor: Since China has been growing richer the past 25 years, a small population of "well off" families can actually pay the fines imposed upon by the Chinese government. This increases the socioeconomic tensions that are growing between the wealthy Chinese (who can afford to have several children) and those who are barely scraping by with only one child. This further increases the problem when that one child will have to support his/her parents and grandparents.
- Decrease of military effectiveness: As fewer eligible "males" reach the age to serve China's bloated (not as much as the states) military, the overall effectiveness of their military strength will go down as they will no longer have a large population to draw their recruits from.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy
Information about the growing financial divide (people paying their way out of the One Child Policy):
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/IE11Ad01.html
Considering that the Chinese population is "still" increasing (although at a much decreased rate) of 0.606%/year (2007 est.). It is obvious that the problem of overpopulation will continue to mount in China for a while.
One possible solution to China's current situation is to promote "mass" migrations (on the scale of the Irish migration in the 1700s) to other countries: in particular Australia, Canada, Norway, Swedan, UK, and the United States, while abolishing the One Child Policy. This method would be able to help alleviate the current overpopulation problem, establish a strong stake hold of pro-Chinese sentiment in those countries (to prevent wars and gain pro-Chinese views in those countries) [much as what the Jews have done for Israel], broaden the spread of Chinese culture, and help introduce more democratic reforms to the current Socialist Capitalist nature of the Chinese government, so that they may continue their way towards a Democratic future.
No comments:
Post a Comment